The US Social Security program began in 1935 as a social program intended to provide a safety net protecting American workers and their families in the event of retirement, disability, and early death. It has become the largest government program in the world and the single greatest expenditure, at $612 billion (20.8%), (1.3 MB) of the 2008 $2.9 trillion federal budget. In 2008, the Social Security Administration paid $615 billion, or 4.3% of the US GDP, in benefits to about 56 million people. [1]
According to the Social Security Administration, the projected long run costs of the Social Security program are not sustainable under the current program framework. They predict that starting in 2016, without changes to the system, the cost of benefits will exceed tax revenues, and in 2037, the program will become insolvent, i.e. unable to pay scheduled benefits in full. Reasons for this insolvency include a larger aging US population (40.2 million age 65 and older in 2010 and 81.2 million projected in 2040) and an 83-year life expectancy for Social Security recipients in 2009 versus 77.5 years when the program began in 1935. [1][2]Since Social Security is an entitlement program and Congress can change the rules regarding benefit eligibility at any time, workers paying into the Social Security system do not have a right to receive Social Security benefits.
Moving Social Security benefits into private accounts is one proposal to prevent Social Security's predicted future financial shortfall. Privatization of Social Security would allow workers to control their own retirement money through personal investment accounts.
Supporters of private accounts contend that retirees will then have the freedom to invest their retirement money in the stock market as they wish, theoretically earning higher returns than with government-invested funds.
Critics of privatizing Social Security argue that investing retirement money is complicated and risky because individuals can lose their retirement safety net through bad decisions. [Click here for expanded background]
Pro & Con Arguments: "Should Social Security be privatized?"
PRO Privatized Social Security
When Social Security began in 1935, the contributions of 17 workers paid for the benefits of one retiree. In 2035 the estimated ratio will be 2.1 workers per beneficiary. Allowing individuals to contribute to their own private accounts may reduce future loss of money from fewer worker contributions. [3]
Using the existing system to avert the pending collapse of Social Security will require deep cuts in benefits, heavy borrowing, or substantial tax hikes. A better solution is to switch to private investment accounts that will be funded with existing payroll tax thereby avoiding any benefit cuts or tax hikes.
A medium income worker born after 1965 can expect less than a 2% rate of return with the existing Social Security system. Privatizing Social Security will put more money in the pockets of retirees. Over the last 80 years, private investment in the US has earned an average return of nearly 8%. [4]
Private retirement accounts will give a worker contractual rights to retirement benefits, a right missing from the current Social Security system. In the 1960 US Supreme Court case Flemming v. Nestor, a retiring legal immigrant eligible for Social Security benefits, who paid into the system for 19 years, was denied his Social Security retirement money after being deported as a member of the Communist Party.
Putting Social Security into private accounts does not expose retirement money to risk. These federally regulated personal accounts would allow individuals to invest only in diversified, approved mutual funds and not in single stocks or highly volatile stocks.
Switching to personal retirement accounts would not result in burdensome transaction costs since the year-over-year growth rate over time of these investments will offset any extra costs the accounts incur.
In the past, budget surpluses in Social Security were used by the federal government to fund other government spending. Keeping retirement money in private accounts will prevent it from being diverted for non-Social Security purposes. [5]
Privatizing Social Security into individual investment accounts would boost economic growth by injecting money back into America's failing financial system.
Removing the requirement of the federal government to provide retirement benefits reduces the bloated bureaucracy of the US government.
The maximum Social Security tax in 1935 was $60; as of 2009 it is $11,000. Privatizing Social Security will alleviate this excessive taxation since private accounts will be taxed through the normal process of income taxation.
Given the pending crisis, many young workers assume they will never see the money they are putting into the current Social Security program. Private accounts will be a transparent system that is more accurate an account of the relationship between today's earnings and future benefits.
Privatizing Social Security would empower individuals to have control over their own retirement investment decisions, taking the US government out of citizens' financial retirement decisions.
Social Security was established at a time when people had a shorter life expectancy. The only viable option for a population that is living longer is to put Social Security into personal investment accounts.
The present Social Security system fails workers who have a disproportionately shorter life expectancy rate since they cannot collect on benefits paid. Personal accounts will provide the option to bequeath assets to heirs upon death, an option currently missing from Social Security.
CON Privatized Social Security
Moving Social Security into private accounts would cause substantial reductions in traditional Social Security benefits. Privatization would, over the next 47 years, reduce benefit levels by as much as 44% below 2005 levels. [6]
Getting a privatization system started is too costly. The transition costs of setting up new personal accounts while continuing to provide benefits to Social Security's current beneficiaries would require an extra $1 trillion to $2 trillion. [7]
Private accounts would reduce special insurance protections, such as disability and survivor's insurance, that are also provided by Social Security. Cuts will have to be made to these programs in order to fund private retirement accounts.
Privatizing Social Security, which essentially is putting peoples' retirement money at the whim of the stock market, will weaken the federal retirement system through potentially risky investments.
Putting their Social Security funds into private investing accounts exposes US workers to be victims of unscrupulous stock brokers and of their own investment choices.
Many people either do not know, or do not want to know, how to make the sound decisions about their own long-term investments that private accounts require.
The upfront costs of setting up the individual accounts and of advising individuals of the system would take away any fiscal benefits that moving toward privatization could bring.
Social Security is a program that provides benefits through one, centralized process dictated by the US government. Moving benefits into individual private accounts creates a decentralized system that will have to take into account the millions of diverse opinions, preferences, and expectations of individual investors, making the program too bureaucratic and unwieldy.
Privatization of federal retirement benefits has proved disappointing in other countries. Private retirement accounts in the UK that started in 1988 have had management fees and marketing costs eat up an average of 43% of the return on their investments. [7]
Putting money from Social Security into private accounts means moving retirement savings from a simple, easy to comprehend system into a complex structure of investment portfolios and stock market shares that is more difficult to understand.
Invested private Social Security accounts will not benefit the US economy but will put billions of dollars in brokerage and management fees into the pockets of Wall Street financial services corporations.
Instead of upsetting the system through a new plan like privatization, future budget shortfalls can be fixed within the system. The current system will work by reducing benefits, increasing taxes, and/or raising the retirement age.
Social Security paid benefits to over 30 million retired workers in 2008. Creating and managing this many individual private retirement accounts would generate more, not less, bureaucracy. This enterprise would require costly hiring and training tens of thousands of new government employees. [8][9]
Because private accounts would be financed by taking money out of Social Security, privatization would increase Social Security's funding gap and move forward the date of the system's insolvency up from 2037 up to 2030.
Social Security taxes are weighted to balance the system for all levels of wage earners. Private accounts will create disproportionate returns since higher-wage will have more money to take bigger risks for higher yield investments than can low- and moderate-income workers.
The US Social Security program is the largest government program in the world and the single greatest expenditure, at $612 billion (20.8%), of the 2008 $2.9 trillion federal budget.
When Social Security began in 1935 the contributions of 17 workers paid for the benefits of one retiree. In 2035 the estimated ratio will be 2.1 workers per beneficiary.
Over 40 million post-World-War II baby boomers will reach the retirement age of 65 between 2010 and 2040, an average of 1,000 per day.
In Flemming v. Nestor (1960), the US Supreme Court upheld that Nestor, a retiring, legal immigrant who had paid into the system for 19 years, could be denied Social Security benefits for being deported as a member of the Communist Party.
Since Social Security is an entitlement program and Congress can change the rules regarding benefit eligibility at any time, workers paying into the Social Security system do not have a right to receive Social Security benefits.
Background: "Should Social Security be privatized?"
Social Security was created when Franklin D. Roosevelt signed the Social Security Act on Aug. 13, 1935 to provide a social insurance system based on the idea that, if workers pool a portion of their wages, they would be able to protect each other and their families against catastrophic wage loss due to death, disability or retirement. Through this national benefits program, Social Security makes available a basic level of monthly income to those workers who have paid into the system. Of 2009 Social Security benefits, 69% was for retired workers and their dependents, 18% was for disabled workers and their dependents, and 13% was for the survivors of deceased workers. [10]
Although Social Security benefits are intended to complement pensions and personal savings for retirees, Social Security payments have become a de facto retirement plan for many Americans. Among elderly beneficiaries, 20% of married couples and about 41% of unmarried persons relied on Social Security for 90% or more of their income in 2009. [10]
Workers pay into the Social Security system and receive benefits when they become eligible. Social Security does not maintain individual savings accounts per worker, but operates as a pay-as-you-go system in which each generation of workers supports the preceding generation's retirees. As of Nov. 24, 2009, 6.2% of US citizens' salaries is taken out in Social Security Federal Insurance Contribution Act (FICA) taxes. Individuals can begin collecting reduced retirement benefits as early as age 62, and full retirement benefits can be claimed at 67 years old.
Social Security has had financial difficulty in the past. Budget shortfalls in the 1980s prompted an adjustment to the system with comprehensive changes in the Social Security coverage, financing, and benefit structure. For example, in an effort to generate revenue a 1983 Social Security Amendment included a tax on benefits for the first time- 50% of Social Security benefits became subject to taxation for individuals with an income of $20,000 or more- and raised the full-benefit retirement age from 65 to 67. [11] However, because many American voters consider Social Security benefits to be a right, it has consistently been a federal program that politicians are reluctant to change.
According to the 2009 annual report of the Social Security Board of Trustees, the program faces a budget shortfall of more than $15 trillion(1 MB) over the next 75 years. They predict that Social Security's cost will exceed tax revenues beginning in 2016 and will become insolvent, i.e. unable to pay scheduled benefits in full, when reserves become exhausted in 2037. Insolvency does not mean the Social Security fund will be completely broke and unable to pay benefits. Starting in 2037, the program is expected to pay benefits, not out of reserved funds as is currently the case, but out of incoming FICA taxes. In that year, Social Security is projected to have only enough tax income to pay about 76% of scheduled benefits. [12]
When Social Security trust funds are projected to become insolvent in 2037, the benefit cuts and tax increases required to achieve long-range solvency are estimated to be about twice as large as those needed in 2007. [13]An early indication of Social Security's financial distress is that, in 2010, more than 57 million Americans will not automatically receive a Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA)(26 KB) in their benefits. This will be the first year without an automatic increase since COLA was added to Social Security benefits in 1975.
Several factors contribute to Social Security's predicted long-term insolvency. Over 40 million post-World-War II baby boomers will reach the retirement age of 65 between 2010 and 2040, an average of 1,000 per day, in what has been called America's "silver tsunami." By 2030, almost one in every five Americans will be 65 or older and, by 2040, there will be twice as many people aged 65 and older as there will be in 2010- from 40.2 million (13% of the population) to 81.2 million (20% of the population). [2][14] Given the aging population, the share of the workforce is declining relative to the share of the population that is retiring, which may contribute to Social Security unsustainability over the next several decades. Further, life expectancy will likely continue to increase and retirees will collect more benefits over a longer time period.
Although the Social Security Act entitles workers to receive benefits, these benefits are not guaranteed by law. The federal government does not have a legal liability to pay retirees the money they paid into the system over their working careers. Therefore, workers paying into the Social Security system do not have any contractual right to Social Security benefits(218 KB) .
Individual private accounts have been proposed to alleviate future fiscal shortfalls for retiring Americans. While there are many ways privatization can occur, at the basic level these personal accounts would be retirement investment accounts, similar to IRA or 401(k) plans, financed from a worker's Social Security taxes.
Factors indicating that the Social Security program will not be financially sustainable under the present statutory scheme have fueled the current debate regarding Social Security reform. While the majority of people and politicians agree that reform is necessary, a debate rages over whether a plan for private accounts for individuals is the right answer to what appears to be the inevitable insolvency of Social Security retirement funds.
Proponents of privatization contend that personal accounts are fundamental to Social Security reform. They argue that private investment would not only provide a higher rate of return, but would also impart a sense of ownership and control over one's retirement money.
Opponents of privatization believe that investing retirement money in personal accounts is a bad idea. Among other things, critics suggest that future returns to equity investment are likely to be far below historical rates of return and that the risk and administrative costs of those investments will outweigh any benefits.
Images & Videos (click to enlarge)
A. Image Gallery (click to enlarge)
Chart detailing how Social Security works Source: "Social Security - A Simple Concept," www.pbs.org (accessed Nov. 9, 2009)
Chart of the estimated decline of workers per beneficiary from 5.1 in 1960 to 2.1 in 2035 Source: "The Future of Social Security," www.ssa.gov, Aug. 2009
Political cartoon on Social Security reform in the United States. Source: Mike Luckovich, "Times A-Waisting," available on www.honnold.net, Mar. 13, 2005
Social Security poster, circa 1935 Source: "Photos of the Great Depression and the New Deal," docs.fdrlibrary.marist.edu (accessed Oct. 22, 2009)
Washington Post-ABC News poll showing results of how confident people are that Social Security will be able to pay full benefits throughout retirement. Source: "Washington Post-ABC News Poll," www.washingtonpost.com, Feb. 19-22, 2009
Anti-privatizing Social Security protestors in San Francisco, CA Source: "Don't Privatize Social Security," happening-here.blogspot.com, Mar. 31, 2005
B. Video Gallery
(click image to watch video)
President Franklin D. Roosevelt signs and comments on the Social Security Act, Aug. 13, 1935 Source: "Franklin Roosevelt Social Security," www.youtube.com (accessed Oct. 29, 2009)
CBS News reports on the 70th anniversary of Social Security in 2005 Source: "Social Security Turns 70," www.cbsnews.com, Aug. 16, 2005
President Barack Obama talks about privatizing Social Security during a Sep. 19, 2008 campaign speech in Coral Gables, FL Source: "Obama Slams McCain on the Markets, Privatizing Social Security," www.youtube.com (accessed Nov. 24, 2009)
Janice Revell, Senior Writer for Money magazine, interviews Alicia Munnell, Director of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, about Social Security's future on Revell on Retirement, Jan. 9, 2009 Source: "Social Security's Future," money.cnn.com (accessed Nov. 9, 2009)
Readers' Comments
We post pro, con, and not clearly pro or con comments in the approximate ratio that we received them. We sometimes edit comments for brevity, clarity, and spelling. We may also remove comments posted when we find better comments covering the same issues or for other good reasons.
PRO Privatizing Social Security
CON Privatizing Social Security
"Ultimately, the current system is insolvent and unsustainable. A number of years ago, in my law school class on income taxation, the professor was getting very excited over whether social security should conceptually be included as 'income' to those retirees receiving it. He could not seem to understand why the class was not excited about this issue. Being young and obnoxious, I asked a question of the class -- would everyone who expects to receive social security in their lifetime raise their hands. The only one who raised a hand was the teacher ... and he was within a couple of years of retirement at the time. Social security was never intended to be the primary source of retirement income. The fact that social security funds are 'invested' in US Treasury securities is a croc ... the reality is that politicans have already spent the money or the US Treasury would not have to issue the bonds or other securities in the first place. Partial privitization would be a huge boon and long-term should help the financial prognosis of the so-called 'trust' funds." Mark, Jan. 15, 2010
"I am dependant on SSD for my livelihood... I believe that SSI SHOULD be privatized if only to take it's Slush Fund's availability out of the hands of the Good Old Boys in the House and Senate. Let them try to live on $1000 a month without Food Stamps... Let them decide which meds they are not going to take this month... Social Security was built to help Americans when they could no longer work. It is not my fault that the Boomers out-number the amount of people necessary to keep them in semi-poverty. I am most certain that any kind of privatization will be subject to the same greed and corruption that follows the system now but what the Hell; let's give some smarter people a shot." Sgt. DS, Nov. 27, 2009
"No, do not 'privatize' it, eliminate the entire system. People OWN the government, not the other way around. The 'government' should not be responsible for individual, but to society as a whole. Families and local organizations should be the source to turn to for assistance. 'Privatized' SS is just a way to put more money into the wallets of wall street, and the government abuses the system by 'borrowing' monies to offset wasteful spending. Time to eliminate a failed system and 'phase it out'." Charles, Mar. 1, 2010
"Excellent - if we haven't learned not to trust Wall Street by now - why would anyone turn over retirement Soc.Sec. to them!!??" Monica, Nov. 28, 2009
"Privatizing Social Security means that it would no longer be secure. Consider the companies in the private sector who administered retirement funds that went down the drain in our recent financial melt down. Security for the funds can only be realized with the backing of the government." A., Nov. 27, 2009
"The money paid into Social Security should belong to the people. That is not how it is treated. The funds are often used by the government and not replaced. To have it privatized would be even worse. The record of private companies handling retirement funds have proven not to be secure. Security should mean secure, and only the government can guarantee that." Abe, Nov. 24, 2009
NOT CLEARLY PRO OR CON Privatizing Social Security
"Great presentation of facts, but I think that further discussion regarding the immoral, if not illegal, antics of Wall Street have ruined many retiree accounts just this year, with resulting trust in the system. The lack of indictments on Wall Street makes most people feel that the SS retirement plan is less risky, especially when brokers tell clients to buy yet don't tell them to have stops or how to short a stock. When 401K plans are not allowed to short stocks for the client while the managers of the plan can short stocks, the client is robbed. These rules are never advertised to the clients and this is legal, yet is legalized stealing. How can John Q Public ever understand how to create a retirement plan when so much is hidden? These hidden facts need to be exposed... This needs to be a standard site with the maximum publicity for all the 'facts' that have been hidden for far too long." Anonymous, Nov. 28, 2009
"Before SS could be privatized there would have to be a lot of added clauses installed that would stop the Government from taking said savings and one to stop the owners of said money from enjoying his savings early." John, Nov. 28, 2009
"2 clarifications on your Social Security overview -
1) Employers match the 6.2% that is withheld from employees wages causing the program to create a much greater drag on employment and thus the economy than your overview suggests.
2) The surplus funds collected by the government to pay for future SS benefits beginning in 2016 are not 'saved' in the sense a private entity would save them. There is no liquid asset that can be sold to pay these benefits. The only way these funds can be paid is to raise taxes or increase debt - the same options available if the 'trust fund' did not exist. The only other option is to sell real government assets - buildings and land." David, Nov. 25, 2009
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Footnotes & Sources
The summary and pro and con arguments were written by ProCon.org staff based upon input from the following footnotes and sources:
Footnotes:
"Social Security Board of Trustees: Economic Downturn Leads to Worsening of Long-Range Financing Outlook," Social Security Administration website, May 12, 2009
"Projected Future Growth of the Older Population: By Age: 1900-2050," Administration on Aging website, July 16, 2009
"Current Social Security System Is Unsustainable in the Long Run," Social Security Administration website, Aug. 2009
Orlo Nichols, Michael Clingman, Kyle Burkhalter, Alice Wade, and Chris Chaplain, "Actuarial Note: Internal Real Rates of Return Under the OASDI Program for Hypothetical Workers," Social Security Administration website, Apr. 2009
"President's Commission to Strengthen Social Security: Strengthening Social Security and Creating Personal Wealth for All Americans," US Government Printing Office website, Dec. 21, 2001
Libby Perl, "False Promise: How Social Security Privatization Would Sting Young Adults," Century Foundation website, Mar. 9, 2005
Aaron Bernstein, "Social Security: Are Private Accounts a Good Idea?," BusinessWeek.com, Jan. 24, 2005
"Media Advisory: Former Thrift Savings Plan Director to Talk with Reporters about Problems of Privatized Social Security," Campaign for America's Future website, Aug. 22, 2001
"Fast Facts & Figures about Social Security, 2009," Social Security Administration website, July 2009
"Press Office Fact Sheet: Social Security Basic Facts," Social Security Administration website, Aug. 5, 2009
Report of the National Commission on Social Security Reform," Social Security Administration website, Jan. 1983
"Status of the Social Security and Medicare Programs: A Summary of the 2009 Annual Reports," Social Security Administration website, May 12, 2009
Kathleen Romig, "Social Security: What Would Happen if the Trust Funds Ran Out?," Congressional Research Service, aging.senat.gov, Apr. 25, 2008
"Preparing for the Silver Tsunami," Alliance for Aging Research website, Summer 2006
Sources:
"Annual Statistical Supplement, 2008," Social Security website, Mar. 2009
Greg Anrig and Bernard Wasow, "Twelve Reasons Why Privatizing Social Security Is a Bad Idea," Century Foundation website, Dec. 14, 2004
"Compilation of the Social Security Laws," www.ssa.gov, Jan. 1, 2009
Peter A. Diamond and Peter R. Orszag, "Reducing Benefits and Subsidizing Individual Accounts: An Analysis of the Plans Proposed by the President's Commission to Strengthen Social Security," Century Foundation website, June 2002
"In-Depth Research: Legislative History: Summary of P.L. 98-21, (H.R. 1900) Social Security Amendments of 1983-Signed on April 20, 1983," Social Security website, Nov. 26, 1984
Holman W. Jenkins, Jr., "Can Obama Make Government Solvent?" Wall Street Journal, Jan. 21, 2009
"Myths and Realities about Social Security and Privatization," National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare website, Feb. 2008
"Policy Basics: Where Do Our Federal Tax Dollars Go?," Center on Budget and Policy Priorities website, Apr. 13, 2009
"Project on Social Security Choice: Quick Fact Archive," Cato Institute website (accessed Oct. 23, 2009)
"Public Hearing on Target Date Funds and Other Similar Investment Options," US Security and Exchanges Commission website, July 17, 2009
"Retirement Life: Everything You Ever Wanted to Know about Social Security's Future," www.afscme.org (accessed Nov. 6, 2009)
Charles E. Rounds, Jr. "Property Rights: The Hidden Issue of Social Security Reform," Cato Institute website, Apr. 19, 2000
"Social Security Reform: The Nature of the Problem," Issue Brief No. 1, US Treasury Department website, Sep. 24, 2007
"Social Security Reform: Work Incentives," Issue Brief No. 6, US Treasury Department website (accessed Nov. 11, 2009)
"SSA's Performance and Accountability Report for Fiscal Year (FY) 2008," Social Security Administration website, 2008
Kathleen S. Swendiman and Thomas J. Nicola, "Social Security Reform: Legal Analysis of Social Security Benefit Entitlement Issues," Congressional Research Service, aging.senat.gov, Jan. 31, 2008
Michael Tanner, "The Better Deal: Estimating Rates of Return under a System of Individual Accounts," Cato Institute website, Oct. 28, 2003
Adair Turner, Jeannie Drake, and John Hills, "A New Pension Settlement for the Twenty-first Century," www.pensionscomission.org.uk, 2005
"U.S. Supreme Court: Flemming v. Nestor, 363 U.S. 603 (1960)," caselaw.lp.findlaw (accessed Oct. 22, 2009)